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How to Tip for Round 10

May 30th 2008 04:11
Adelaide v Essendon

Adelaide have gone under the radar a bit, but they've won four of their last five and are in the top four. The Bombers' plummet is well documented, but on paper their list is OK. Their spine still has Ryder, McPhee, Houli, Lucas, Lloyd and Hille, so don't be surprised if they are a strong show. But Adelaide in Adelaide is a tough ask for anyone.
Adelaide by 20 points

Collingwood v West Coast

The Maggies reminded everyone why they are respected in the AFL last week, but so did West Coast. The Eagles have some handy inclusions in Kerr and Waters. However, Collingwood have put up 301 more points that the Eagles so far this year, and it is that factor that decides the outcome. With Rocca, Cloke, Medhurst and Didak, the Magpies have the firepower to knock the Eagles off.

Collingwood by 34

Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs

Match of the round. The Hawks will be sweating on Crawford, who may join Hodge on the sidelines. If so, their midfield still consists of Sewell, Lewis, Mitchell, Bateman and Young, but lacks the depth it usually enjoys to give these stars a rest. That will be up to youngsters like Ellis, Morton and Kennedy. The Bulldogs are famous for goalkicking midfielders, and if one or two of their defenders stand up on Franklin and Roughead, they will be able to kick a winning score. Hawthorn may be able to claim the Aurora Stadium advantage, but the wide ground may just suit the Dogs' style of play.
Hawthorn by 4 points

Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne

Both teams will be looking to consolidate their spot in the eight. Both teams have excellent coaches who bring the best out of their lists. Both teams have power forwards and engine rooms that do not stop. But the Kangaroos are coming off two hard-fought wins, while the Lions have had no trouble knocking off the Blues and the Saints. This might prove the difference between the two teams. Plus it's in Brisbane.

Brisbane Lions by 17 points

Geelong v Carlton

This game is a good litmus test for the Cats. If they win comfortably, then last week was a blip on their radar caused by fatigue, a list stretched by injury and a tough opponent. If they go down, to a younger, more enterprising team, the Cats may prove to be vulnerable after all. But Blues fans - don't hold your breath. The Cats will be fuming! They have some big inclusions, and will run Carlton all over the place. And what possessed the Blues to omit a defender after Waite got suspended is beyond me.
Geelong by 65 points

Sydney v Richmond

Sydney are 2-2-1 from their last five games, but still keep fifth spot because their defence is just so damn good! Richmond will be frustrated by the small SCG ground, and Richo will have to pull on his "Everywhere Man" suit to get into the game. The Tigers may be on the back of a big win, but it was their first for a month and against the struggling Bombers. Sydney's a pretty safe bet here
Sydney by 33 points

St Kilda v Melbourne

Theoretically, Melbourne should be favourites here. They stormed the Hawks last week and arguably deserved the points. They have good forwards and a running midfield. If they play like they did last week, they should get up. The Saints continue to simply make up numbers and their haircuts were still intact in the last quarter last week! But in theory, communism works (thank you, Homer Simpson). St Kilda does have a good midfield and if they want the win enough they can take it. St Kilda's forwardline can stretch Melbourne's defence enough to kick a winning score. Expect another 'respectable loss' for the Dees.
St Kilda by 8 points

Fremantle v Port Adelaide

Port were gone. Then they were back. Then they were gone again. Just because they'll win this one, doesn't mean that they're back again! Fremantle are a very bad football unit at the moment. Their two key midfielders have played fewer than ten games each. And that's in a team that includes Peter Bell, Josh Carr, Shaun McManus and Mark Johnson! Port have the eight in their sights. Subiaco ain't the House of Pain it used to be.
Port Adelaide by 37 points
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